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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.71+6.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+8.06vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59+4.23vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.10+1.26vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+6.56vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.44+1.69vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.01+2.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.59vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.02vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+4.18vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.43-6.78vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.63-8.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.39-4.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.62-6.87vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.07-1.86vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.63-4.65vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.39vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University0.59-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University2.100.1%1st Place
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13.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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11.59Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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11.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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16.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.27Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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15.14University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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17.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.48Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Louise Currie | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Obel | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Christina Gasparich | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Melissa Shadden | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Belle Lemoine | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 22.4% | 22.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 13.0% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 12.2% |
| Annie Johnson | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 45.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.