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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.43+4.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+3.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+6.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.19vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.10+0.40vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.44+0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.63+2.30vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-3.43vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.01-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.39-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.07-0.77vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-1.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.27vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-5.79vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University0.59-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.56Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.2Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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11.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.69Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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15.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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13.48Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena VandenBerg | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 13.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cassie Obel | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 13.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Louise Currie | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Melissa Shadden | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Melissa Schem | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 14.3% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 19.4% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 48.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.