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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+9.96vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.59+7.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+6.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.59vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.01+3.52vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.44+0.80vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43-4.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.62-1.79vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+1.46vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.59+0.69vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.10-6.83vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+0.98vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.63-2.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.71-8.40vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.88vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.41vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California0.07-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.31Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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11.52Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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5.99Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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13.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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13.69Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University2.100.1%1st Place
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15.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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17.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.38University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Carrick | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Louise Currie | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Christina Gasparich | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Cassie Obel | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 21.5% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 46.2% |
| Melissa Schem | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.