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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+8.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.91vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+5.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.59vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.26vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+4.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47+0.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-2.83vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.39vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-3.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-1.78vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-1.27vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.39-5.27vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-5.84vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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15.45University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 62.2% |
| John Silvestri | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.