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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+8.90vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+4.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+4.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+1.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-0.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.08vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-1.42vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-7.15vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.81vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-0.72vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.47-8.71vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.08-11.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.19Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.28University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 8.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 11.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 61.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.