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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+8.92vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+4.91vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+6.34vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+6.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.21vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-0.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.85vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+0.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-2.52vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.13+3.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-1.26vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-8.03vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.39-6.47vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-4.83vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.23-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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15.41University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.97Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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12.17Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 61.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 8.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 10.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.