← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+4.90vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.88+4.69vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.01vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.23+5.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+5.09vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.79+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.70+0.44vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.39+0.42vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.68+2.40vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.98+0.01vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.18-2.49vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.58-1.43vs Predicted
-
14Boston College4.12-8.02vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.23vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.47-7.80vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.45-4.85vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut1.13-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.9Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.69Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
6.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.18Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.09University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.21Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.44Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.42Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.4Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.01Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
9.51Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
11.57University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
5.98Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.2Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
12.15Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
15.47University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 7.5% |
| Raul Rios | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 10.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.