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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+2.31vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.34vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University2.8942.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington1.8312.7%1st Place
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5.31University of Southern California0.906.2%1st Place
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4.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.2%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.6%1st Place
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6.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.6%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley0.987.6%1st Place
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5.39University of Hawaii1.056.3%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 42.0% | 28.1% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 12.7% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 30.9% | 11.9% |
| Will Cornell | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 4.3% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 73.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.