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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+4.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.88vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+4.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+5.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-1.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-1.08vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-0.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-3.43vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-2.23vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-3.62vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-3.38vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-6.12vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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14.61University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 9.7% |
| Raul Rios | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 4.7% |
| Casey Gowrie | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.