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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+5.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.28vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+6.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+6.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+1.06vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.61-1.37vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.34+2.57vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.87vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-1.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-4.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-7.55vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-2.08vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-3.69vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.06Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.57Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.45Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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12.31Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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16.18University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 3.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 26.4% | 9.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 7.0% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.