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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.33vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.21vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+4.73vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.50vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+3.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.82vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+0.16vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73-1.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82-2.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.90vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.50+1.26vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.60-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.58-3.46vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.19-0.32vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.58-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.34-1.75vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.23-3.47vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.46-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Georgetown University2.4212.3%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.2%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University1.796.7%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.9%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy2.6013.6%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.987.4%1st Place
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6.84Webb Institute1.737.8%1st Place
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6.96George Washington University1.828.2%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.5%1st Place
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12.26SUNY Maritime College0.502.6%1st Place
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11.88Christopher Newport University0.602.9%1st Place
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9.54University of Pennsylvania1.583.7%1st Place
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13.68Washington College0.191.1%1st Place
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10.17Hampton University0.583.3%1st Place
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14.25University of Virginia-0.341.2%1st Place
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13.53Drexel University0.231.5%1st Place
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13.41Princeton University0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 25.9% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.