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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+0.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.25+0.16vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.19+1.82vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.95+3.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.06-1.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48-2.69vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.33-1.90vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.11-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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2.16Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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4.82Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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5.71Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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8.52University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.92Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
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4.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.1%1st Place
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6.1McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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6.75Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 50.9% | 32.2% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 29.8% | 39.9% | 19.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 3.6% | 5.8% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Murphy | 2.1% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 2.8% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 12.2% | 76.4% |
| Sarah Hylton | 3.8% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Leo Connolly | 6.0% | 7.5% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.8% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 21.9% | 5.6% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 34.6% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.