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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.78vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+5.88vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+6.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+0.42vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+3.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.66vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.34-0.66vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.61-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-0.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.38vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.33Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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16.17University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 4.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 29.0% | 9.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 6.7% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 10.2% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.