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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.50vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+5.58vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+5.53vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.60vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49-2.78vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.34+0.65vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.15vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.27-6.79vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-9.67vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.21Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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16.26University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 4.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 25.2% | 7.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.