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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.18vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+7.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+2.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.57vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-1.75vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-2.36vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-3.19vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72-0.62vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.39vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-0.46vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-4.34vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.34-3.48vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.19+0.21vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.27-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.66Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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16.21University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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8.31Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 3.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 1.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 7.5% |
| William Hawk | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 5.3% |
| George Williams | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 78.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.