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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+5.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.55vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.45vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+7.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+0.42vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+1.95vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08+2.46vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.40vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-3.56vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.72-6.36vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-4.30vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.36vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.19+0.19vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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13.33University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.46Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.64Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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16.19University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| David Larson | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Girard | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 30.9% | 10.4% |
| John Rolander | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 2.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 7.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| George Williams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 76.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.