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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+8.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+6.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.61+1.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+0.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-0.55vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-1.37vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.79vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-2.36vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-0.72vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-7.52vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-7.48vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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16.24University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 1.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 24.6% | 7.3% |
| Peter Girard | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 9.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.