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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+6.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.34vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+4.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.61vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+0.62vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.68vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-5.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.83-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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16.21University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 6.9% |
| Peter Girard | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 27.9% | 10.7% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 11.7% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.