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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+6.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.85vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.40vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-0.02vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-1.73vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.43-1.23vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-1.77vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-2.63vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08+0.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83+0.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.25vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-5.52vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-5.23vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 6.6% |
| Peter Girard | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 28.3% | 11.9% |
| William Crary | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.