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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+4.34vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.53vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+1.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-1.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.58vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+0.68vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-3.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-4.59vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.72-6.33vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-0.70vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-5.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-3.77vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.68Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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12.23Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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16.21University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 33.2% | 10.7% |
| William Hawk | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 6.1% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.