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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+6.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+4.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+5.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+4.95vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-2.21vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-3.55vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-1.26vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.74vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-5.85vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-1.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-6.52vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-5.11vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.79Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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12.23Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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16.23University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter Girard | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 30.1% | 10.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| David Larson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 5.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| George Williams | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.