← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.25+1.10vs Predicted
-
2Bates College1.19+2.95vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.67-1.26vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.06+0.83vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.33+0.98vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48-1.72vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.15vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-0.11-1.29vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-1.95-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.1Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
-
4.95Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
-
1.74Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
-
4.83Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
-
5.98McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
-
4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.1%1st Place
-
5.85Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
-
6.71Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hatch | 32.8% | 38.6% | 19.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 3.1% | 4.8% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 0.7% |
| Ben Weigel | 49.2% | 33.2% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hylton | 4.1% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 5.1% |
| Leo Connolly | 5.2% | 8.1% | 22.5% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Murphy | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 3.3% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 37.0% | 9.8% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.