← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.84vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University0.43+1.50vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-0.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas-0.65+0.92vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University0.51-1.41vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas0.01-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.5%1st Place
-
3.5Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
-
2.97Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.2%1st Place
-
4.92University of Texas-0.650.0%1st Place
-
3.59Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of Texas0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Schwinn | 50.7% | 26.7% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 11.2% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 9.8% |
| Ryan Murphy | 17.1% | 23.8% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 3.3% |
| Ashlynd Epstein | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 50.5% |
| Erin Hawk | 11.0% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 12.9% |
| George Walters | 6.6% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 27.4% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.