← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University0.51+2.72vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University1.36+0.58vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-1.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas0.01+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.67vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-0.65-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
-
2.58Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
-
1.97Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.4%1st Place
-
4.3University of Texas0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.33Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of Texas-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Hawk | 8.9% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 25.1% | 23.0% | 11.3% |
| Bradley Shaw | 26.2% | 27.4% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Alex Schwinn | 43.6% | 29.1% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| George Walters | 6.2% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 29.9% | 23.4% |
| Ryan Murphy | 13.0% | 17.2% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 7.5% |
| Ashlynd Epstein | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.