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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+6.47vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+8.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+2.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+3.19vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+2.92vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.60+5.62vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.42-1.72vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.85vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82-3.35vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.53vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-3.70vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.79-5.30vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.19-0.46vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.46-1.64vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.50-3.66vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.23-3.54vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.34-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.3%1st Place
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10.17Hampton University0.582.9%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.6012.7%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University1.988.4%1st Place
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7.92Webb Institute1.716.3%1st Place
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11.62Christopher Newport University0.602.5%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University2.4214.5%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.3%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.9%1st Place
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6.65George Washington University1.829.3%1st Place
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9.47University of Pennsylvania1.583.6%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.595.4%1st Place
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7.7Cornell University1.797.0%1st Place
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13.54Washington College0.191.3%1st Place
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13.36Princeton University0.461.5%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College0.502.1%1st Place
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13.46Drexel University0.231.7%1st Place
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14.29University of Virginia-0.341.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.