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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.25+1.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67-0.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.06+2.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48+0.22vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.52+0.73vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.33+0.06vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.19-2.23vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.11-1.25vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.95-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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1.8Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.1%1st Place
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5.73Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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6.06McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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4.77Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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6.75Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.56University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hatch | 34.2% | 36.2% | 18.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 45.9% | 35.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hylton | 3.4% | 5.1% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Leo Connolly | 6.2% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 24.0% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Murphy | 2.1% | 3.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 4.1% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 22.4% | 3.2% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 4.5% | 5.5% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 36.0% | 10.0% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.