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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.49+3.19vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.36+0.93vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16+0.23vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.45-1.17vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.42-1.83vs Predicted
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7Rice University-1.42-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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2.93Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.23Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.2%1st Place
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2.83Texas A&M University0.450.3%1st Place
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5.12Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.54Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Varga | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 11.9% |
| Tracy Hawk | 23.4% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Braly | 19.2% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Suarez | 26.1% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Haley Walker | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 25.4% | 27.4% |
| Caroline Bik | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 10.2% |
| Elena Busch | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.