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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16+2.18vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.36+0.90vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+2.05vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.45-1.13vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.49-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.42-1.83vs Predicted
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7Rice University-1.42-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.2%1st Place
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2.9Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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5.05Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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2.87Texas A&M University0.450.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.52Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Braly | 21.8% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Tracy Hawk | 24.1% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Haley Walker | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 27.0% |
| Christopher Suarez | 25.2% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Simon Varga | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 12.4% |
| Caroline Bik | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 11.0% |
| Elena Busch | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.