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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.36+1.70vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.71+2.46vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16+0.03vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.42-0.98vs Predicted
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6Rice University-0.97-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.49-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Texas A&M University0.360.3%1st Place
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4.46Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.03Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.2%1st Place
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5.0Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.89Rice University-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Hawk | 30.2% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Frakes | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
| Thomas Braly | 23.1% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Haley Walker | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 29.7% |
| Caroline Bik | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
| Zelun Wang | 7.1% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 27.1% |
| Simon Varga | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.