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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16+1.97vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.36+0.71vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.49+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.42-0.99vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.71-1.54vs Predicted
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7Rice University-0.97-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.2%1st Place
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2.71Texas A&M University0.360.3%1st Place
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4.97Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.46Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.78Rice University-0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Braly | 24.8% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Tracy Hawk | 27.8% | 25.1% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Haley Walker | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 28.5% |
| Simon Varga | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 11.3% |
| Caroline Bik | 11.0% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
| Morgan Frakes | 10.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| Zelun Wang | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.