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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+3.99vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.45+0.77vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.36-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.49+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.42-0.83vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16-2.75vs Predicted
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7Rice University-1.42-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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2.77Texas A&M University0.450.3%1st Place
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2.93Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.25Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.2%1st Place
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5.55Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Walker | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 24.7% | 25.6% |
| Christopher Suarez | 25.8% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Tracy Hawk | 23.9% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Simon Varga | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 12.2% |
| Caroline Bik | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Thomas Braly | 20.4% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Elena Busch | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.