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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+0.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.06+3.10vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.25-0.88vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.19+0.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48-0.76vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.24vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.11-0.20vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.33-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.95-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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5.1Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
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2.12Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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4.68Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.1%1st Place
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5.76Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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6.8Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.04McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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8.53University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 49.3% | 34.6% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hylton | 2.7% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| D.J. Hatch | 32.4% | 36.6% | 21.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 4.5% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Leo Connolly | 5.8% | 9.5% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Murphy | 1.9% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.7% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 37.0% | 9.7% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 2.2% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 22.2% | 4.6% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.