Race 1A

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Brown 14.8% 15.5% 16.6% 14.1% 13.9% 9.9% 7.8% 5.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Frank Reeg 29.9% 22.6% 18.8% 12.8% 7.6% 4.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Mete Sayin 11.5% 13.3% 12.4% 13.7% 15.9% 13.5% 10.5% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6%
John Cappetta 18.4% 20.4% 16.9% 16.6% 11.4% 8.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Kelsey Martins 3.6% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 11.3% 15.2% 21.3% 17.8%
Emmet Todd 8.3% 7.1% 8.8% 9.3% 13.4% 15.2% 13.6% 12.9% 7.8% 3.6%
Abe Kipnis 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 5.9% 5.1% 7.3% 13.7% 15.9% 20.1% 25.4%
Noah Brayer 6.9% 8.9% 10.8% 11.8% 13.3% 15.7% 13.3% 9.4% 7.0% 2.9%
Liam Shanahan 3.0% 2.9% 5.8% 5.6% 6.8% 11.1% 11.0% 17.7% 19.8% 16.3%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 1.6% 2.5% 2.8% 4.3% 5.4% 6.4% 10.4% 14.7% 19.2% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.