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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.80+2.41vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+2.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.24vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.89+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78+0.46vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.24+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.21vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.92vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.15vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.36-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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4.03Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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2.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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5.29Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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5.46University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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7.54Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.08Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.85Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.36McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cappetta | 22.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Brown | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 28.8% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Abe Kipnis | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 26.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 32.3% |
| Mete Sayin | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.