Race 3A

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Brown 15.4% 15.8% 15.1% 14.6% 13.1% 10.8% 7.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
John Cappetta 19.0% 18.2% 16.4% 16.2% 12.5% 9.2% 4.8% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Abe Kipnis 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 10.5% 15.7% 22.3% 25.7%
Emmet Todd 5.8% 7.5% 8.8% 12.0% 12.3% 16.3% 13.7% 11.8% 8.0% 3.8%
Noah Brayer 8.3% 8.8% 10.1% 10.0% 14.0% 14.7% 14.0% 11.2% 6.2% 2.7%
Mete Sayin 13.2% 13.1% 14.9% 13.9% 13.4% 12.6% 10.4% 5.3% 2.2% 1.0%
Frank Reeg 27.9% 23.9% 18.9% 13.2% 9.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Kelsey Martins 2.8% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 8.0% 8.9% 13.1% 17.8% 18.7% 16.6%
Liam Shanahan 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 4.9% 6.9% 11.2% 13.6% 16.2% 18.4% 17.7%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 1.9% 2.6% 3.7% 3.4% 5.1% 6.6% 10.1% 13.7% 21.2% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.