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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.80+2.42vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+2.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.22vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.36+0.33vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.24+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.78-0.49vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+0.14vs Predicted
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8Amherst College0.89-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.84vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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4.03Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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2.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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4.33McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.51Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.51University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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7.14Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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5.27Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.86Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cappetta | 21.5% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Brown | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 28.9% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 26.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 17.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.