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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.52+2.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.78vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.80+0.51vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.36+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78+0.48vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.18vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.15vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.89-3.72vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.24-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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2.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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3.51Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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4.29McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.48University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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7.06Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.85Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.28Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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7.62Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown | 15.1% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 30.0% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 18.6% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mete Sayin | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Liam Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 16.6% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 23.5% | 30.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.