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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.75vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+2.01vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.36+1.36vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.80-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78+0.48vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-0.75vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+0.17vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.86vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.24-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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4.01Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.36McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.45Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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5.48University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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5.25Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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7.17Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.81Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.57Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 30.7% | 24.5% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Mete Sayin | 12.7% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| John Cappetta | 17.6% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 21.0% | 31.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 17.1% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.