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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.52+2.88vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.72vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.36+1.28vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.80-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78+0.35vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-0.88vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.18vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-2.08vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.24-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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2.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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4.28McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.39Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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5.35University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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5.12Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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7.77Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.92Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.4Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown | 14.8% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 30.5% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| John Cappetta | 18.9% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 23.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 38.9% |
| Liam Shanahan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 12.9% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.