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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.70vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.36+2.24vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+0.91vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.80-0.59vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89+0.12vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.40+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.29vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-1.13vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.24-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.78-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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4.24McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.91Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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3.41Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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5.12Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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7.63Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.87Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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7.43Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.4University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 31.0% | 24.8% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 12.4% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ben Brown | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 17.8% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 25.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 37.6% |
| Liam Shanahan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.