Race 1B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Gershuny 18.1% 17.1% 19.3% 13.6% 11.1% 10.2% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Jeffrey Adam 33.1% 23.1% 18.3% 12.9% 7.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 8.9% 9.9% 9.7% 10.9% 13.8% 16.7% 15.3% 10.6% 3.6% 0.6%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 12.7% 17.5% 16.2% 16.3% 14.2% 11.1% 7.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Justin Tedeschi 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 9.0% 9.7% 13.9% 15.0% 20.8% 9.8% 2.1%
Meghan Colwell 10.3% 10.9% 11.0% 14.1% 15.9% 12.5% 12.6% 9.0% 3.4% 0.3%
Amy Macdonald 5.5% 8.6% 9.9% 12.1% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0% 12.5% 5.7% 0.7%
Frank Egan 3.7% 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 9.6% 10.8% 17.1% 22.0% 14.4% 3.3%
Hanna Desilets 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 4.0% 6.3% 11.1% 38.0% 32.6%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 6.3% 23.3% 60.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.