Race 2B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Adam 35.3% 23.2% 15.5% 11.7% 7.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 15.8% 20.1% 16.5% 15.0% 11.1% 11.8% 6.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Meghan Colwell 9.8% 9.8% 11.1% 14.5% 14.1% 15.9% 12.2% 8.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 13.6% 16.4% 16.7% 15.9% 14.1% 11.5% 7.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Frank Egan 4.3% 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 11.9% 15.5% 21.4% 15.7% 3.5%
Amy Macdonald 7.9% 8.1% 9.0% 11.5% 14.2% 13.8% 16.2% 13.2% 4.5% 1.6%
Nathaniel Barton 7.5% 8.5% 13.3% 13.0% 14.8% 14.3% 13.5% 10.8% 3.5% 0.8%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 3.4% 8.2% 22.8% 58.7%
Hanna Desilets 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 6.4% 11.0% 38.9% 32.3%
Justin Tedeschi 4.3% 6.2% 8.7% 8.0% 11.8% 12.1% 17.0% 19.6% 10.1% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.