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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.06+3.93vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.25+0.20vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.19+1.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67-2.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48-0.75vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.11+0.71vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.18vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.33-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.95-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
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2.2Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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4.77Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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1.69Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.1%1st Place
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6.71Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.82Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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6.08McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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8.54University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hylton | 4.7% | 4.4% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| D.J. Hatch | 28.3% | 39.7% | 19.7% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 4.1% | 5.7% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Ben Weigel | 53.0% | 31.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Connolly | 5.0% | 11.3% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 36.6% | 9.1% |
| Cameron Murphy | 2.2% | 2.1% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 3.3% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.5% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 4.8% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.