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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sarah Hylton 4.7% 4.4% 13.2% 18.0% 19.4% 19.3% 12.8% 7.8% 0.4%
D.J. Hatch 28.3% 39.7% 19.7% 9.2% 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Gilchrist 4.1% 5.7% 14.9% 19.6% 19.7% 18.0% 13.2% 3.9% 0.9%
Ben Weigel 53.0% 31.1% 11.1% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leo Connolly 5.0% 11.3% 20.7% 20.5% 17.7% 13.3% 7.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Paul Hildebrand 1.0% 2.2% 3.8% 7.7% 8.1% 12.3% 19.2% 36.6% 9.1%
Cameron Murphy 2.2% 2.1% 7.8% 12.1% 15.6% 18.8% 21.1% 17.0% 3.3%
Bogdan Istrate 1.5% 3.3% 7.4% 8.0% 14.5% 16.0% 21.6% 22.9% 4.8%
Phillip Parsons 0.2% 0.2% 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 4.3% 8.5% 80.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.