Race 3B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Meghan Colwell 10.8% 11.6% 11.7% 13.0% 14.1% 13.7% 12.9% 8.2% 3.6% 0.4%
Frank Egan 5.3% 3.8% 4.8% 7.9% 8.9% 11.3% 16.2% 22.9% 15.4% 3.5%
Ryan Gershuny 15.9% 16.6% 16.5% 16.2% 14.3% 10.7% 6.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 14.0% 15.9% 16.7% 15.4% 16.3% 8.7% 8.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Jeffrey Adam 33.7% 25.2% 18.8% 10.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Hanna Desilets 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.1% 12.7% 37.4% 31.4%
Amy Macdonald 5.2% 8.3% 10.0% 11.7% 13.0% 16.3% 17.0% 11.0% 6.9% 0.6%
Nathaniel Barton 7.9% 10.8% 12.3% 11.5% 12.6% 16.4% 12.1% 12.0% 3.9% 0.5%
Justin Tedeschi 5.6% 5.4% 6.6% 10.7% 10.8% 12.2% 17.4% 20.7% 8.5% 2.1%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 3.1% 3.9% 5.4% 22.0% 61.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.