Race 4B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Adam 33.7% 26.1% 15.8% 10.0% 7.7% 3.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Meghan Colwell 9.7% 10.8% 12.5% 13.0% 15.5% 12.7% 12.2% 11.0% 2.3% 0.3%
Justin Tedeschi 5.0% 6.9% 7.9% 8.0% 8.6% 13.4% 18.8% 18.8% 10.7% 1.9%
Ryan Gershuny 15.5% 17.9% 19.0% 15.2% 14.3% 8.8% 5.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Frank Egan 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 9.9% 11.2% 14.8% 23.4% 14.0% 3.5%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 15.3% 14.2% 17.4% 15.5% 14.1% 10.5% 8.1% 4.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Amy Macdonald 6.8% 7.2% 9.7% 11.8% 13.6% 18.1% 15.0% 11.2% 5.3% 1.3%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 1.9% 3.7% 6.8% 23.5% 59.3%
Nathaniel Barton 8.0% 9.6% 9.7% 15.3% 12.1% 15.7% 14.8% 10.2% 4.2% 0.4%
Hanna Desilets 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 10.1% 38.7% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.