Race 5B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Adam 34.6% 25.4% 14.8% 10.1% 8.1% 4.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Meghan Colwell 9.4% 8.8% 14.3% 13.7% 13.2% 14.9% 13.1% 7.7% 4.5% 0.4%
Frank Egan 3.8% 5.1% 5.3% 7.5% 7.2% 11.5% 14.6% 21.9% 17.7% 5.4%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 13.2% 16.3% 17.5% 14.6% 14.7% 11.6% 7.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 17.2% 17.1% 17.5% 16.2% 13.6% 8.4% 5.6% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 9.1% 10.2% 10.0% 13.2% 12.6% 14.8% 13.5% 10.8% 4.9% 0.9%
Amy Macdonald 6.1% 8.6% 8.7% 12.2% 14.6% 15.3% 15.7% 11.5% 6.1% 1.2%
Justin Tedeschi 4.7% 6.4% 9.0% 8.3% 10.8% 12.1% 16.6% 18.9% 10.0% 3.2%
Molly Gallagher 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 6.0% 10.6% 27.1% 44.9%
Hanna Desilets 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 6.1% 9.9% 27.7% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.