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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.24+2.59vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.67+2.78vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.55+2.09vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+2.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.46vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.06-0.05vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.10-3.08vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.37-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of New Hampshire1.240.2%1st Place
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4.78Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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5.09Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.49Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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2.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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5.95University of Vermont0.060.1%1st Place
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3.92McGill University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.3Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gershuny | 20.6% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Frank Egan | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 34.0% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 12.0% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Amy Macdonald | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 27.5% | 45.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 29.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.