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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Gershuny 18.7% 18.0% 15.4% 15.2% 12.8% 8.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Amy Macdonald 7.6% 6.8% 10.1% 10.4% 11.7% 15.6% 15.2% 14.4% 6.6% 1.6%
Jeffrey Adam 30.6% 23.5% 19.4% 14.0% 6.3% 4.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 14.1% 15.4% 16.7% 16.7% 13.3% 11.5% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Justin Tedeschi 5.7% 8.2% 6.0% 8.6% 9.2% 13.6% 16.4% 17.6% 11.9% 2.8%
Nathaniel Barton 10.5% 8.5% 10.8% 10.5% 16.9% 12.5% 14.2% 10.5% 4.4% 1.2%
Meghan Colwell 7.3% 12.0% 12.9% 14.0% 14.1% 15.3% 12.7% 8.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Frank Egan 3.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 10.0% 10.6% 15.6% 21.4% 14.5% 5.7%
Molly Gallagher 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 4.5% 4.6% 10.1% 28.6% 44.9%
Hanna Desilets 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 1.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 10.1% 28.7% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.