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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.24+2.63vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+3.42vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.36vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.10-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.06+0.93vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55-1.04vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.67-2.25vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of New Hampshire1.240.2%1st Place
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5.42Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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2.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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3.9McGill University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Vermont0.060.1%1st Place
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4.96Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.75Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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6.43Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gershuny | 18.7% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Amy Macdonald | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 30.6% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 7.3% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Frank Egan | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 14.5% | 5.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 28.6% | 44.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 28.7% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.