Race 8B

ne-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Adam 34.7% 24.0% 15.9% 11.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 15.5% 20.1% 16.7% 14.8% 11.7% 9.5% 7.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 14.7% 13.6% 16.0% 15.8% 16.2% 10.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Amy Macdonald 5.9% 8.1% 11.0% 11.8% 12.3% 14.8% 15.9% 12.9% 6.2% 1.1%
Meghan Colwell 9.9% 10.9% 12.0% 14.2% 13.1% 16.1% 11.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0%
Justin Tedeschi 6.6% 6.2% 7.6% 6.9% 11.2% 13.6% 13.7% 19.2% 11.8% 3.2%
Nathaniel Barton 6.8% 10.5% 11.3% 13.6% 12.9% 14.9% 14.0% 11.1% 3.9% 1.0%
Frank Egan 3.7% 4.8% 6.8% 6.8% 10.6% 9.6% 16.6% 19.9% 15.4% 5.8%
Hanna Desilets 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 3.6% 6.0% 10.0% 29.3% 42.9%
Molly Gallagher 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 11.4% 26.8% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.