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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+6.08vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.14vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+3.77vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+3.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+1.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.73+7.52vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.13-2.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-2.44vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-4.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-4.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+2.98vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University0.33+1.61vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.05-1.41vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.26-3.17vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.28-4.04vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire0.27-2.17vs Predicted
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20Harvard University2.42-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.59Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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15.52University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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16.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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16.61Wesleyan University0.330.0%1st Place
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14.59Connecticut College1.050.0%1st Place
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13.83Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.96Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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16.83University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hancock | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 10.9% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Beringer | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Read | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 27.1% |
| Lillian Saul | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 24.0% |
| Sam Simonds | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 24.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.