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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+6.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+4.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+4.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+2.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+2.61vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56-1.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-0.76vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.42-0.36vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.90-3.15vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-4.32vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.26+1.17vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.05+0.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.27+0.77vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University0.33-0.41vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.02vs Predicted
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19Bates College1.28-5.24vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida0.73-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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5.62Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.17Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.68Connecticut College1.050.0%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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16.77University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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16.59Wesleyan University0.330.0%1st Place
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16.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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13.76Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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15.71University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Sam Simonds | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Owen Beringer | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 25.4% |
| Lillian Saul | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 20.6% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 26.4% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Hancock | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.