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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+1.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+6.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.73+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77+6.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+0.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.42+5.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.36+2.31vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.29-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.23+0.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.52vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.51-5.57vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-8.50vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.53+1.32vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.00+1.29vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-11.24vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.68-1.26vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.02-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Yale University4.240.3%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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5.13Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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11.31Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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16.32University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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17.29Wesleyan University-1.000.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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16.74Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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15.1Connecticut College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 29.2% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Caso | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Fullerton | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Braden Foster | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 23.7% | 22.5% |
| Catherine Streich | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 14.2% | 23.2% | 41.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 26.1% |
| John Pearson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.